Crow
24 Sep 2015 #1
Polish president said: "I am considering the idea of creating a partnership bloc stretching from the Baltic to the Black and the Adriatic seas."

Source: Intermarium Alliance - Will the idea become reality?
12.08.2015 | 17:45 /
unian.info/politics/1110820-intermarium-alliance-will-the-idea-become-reality.html
Adriatic sea? What crossed my mind these days is one simple question. That is, what amount of Adriatic is enough for Duda`s project of Intermarium? This is very important question if we were to understand political processes behind the scene.
Original Pilsudski`s idea of Intermarium and work of Prince Adam Jerzy Czartoryski included Serbians, Slavic South and Yugoslavia in the project. But, back then when original project was announced, epicenter of the Slavic South were Serbians. Serbian factor- historically and traditionally, loyal to Poland and Poles. After all, Serbians won the Adriatic for the Slavic world. So, calculations seamed simple.
Now, since then, Serbians are still loyal. Just, they don`t control most of Adriatic. Their influence is right in this moment reduced on Montenegro and seams that slowly restore in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Its hugely important strategic element in securing Intermarium`s access to warm waters and to Adriatic. But, is it enough? What Duda wanted to say when said: "I am considering the idea of creating a partnership bloc stretching from the Baltic to the Black and the Adriatic seas"? What exactly?
Understanding original idea of Intermarium on which Duda refers, we know that Duda think on Serbs. But, one may say that Duda also point on Croatia. Croatia due to all kind of circumstances now hold Dalmatian coast of Adriatic, meaning most of Slavic controlled Adriatic. See, problem is that Croatia don`t feel too much Slavic. In fact, Croatia pledge its loyalty to Germany and Germanics. So, they aren`t interested in Intermarium. i mean, Germany isn`t interested to abandon its control over Dalmatia and Adriatic.
What i mean, let`s be realistic. Polish president Duda is informed man. He knows how things stand. So, again, what he meant when said: "I am considering the idea of creating a partnership bloc stretching from the Baltic to the Black and the Adriatic seas"?
Two things could be answer:
1. Duda sending invitation to Serbians
2. Duda sending invitation to Serbians and to Croatia.
In first case, things seams simple. Poland can count on Serbians. No obstacle to it.
In the second case, Poland again count on Serbians and they would respond positively. Also, in this second case, if that was the case, if Duda point on Dalmatian coast too, if he calls Croatia, Duda directly gave signal to Germany that Poland consider Dalmatia (and entire Croatia) to be part of Slavic world, ie to belong in realm of Intermarium. Also, Duda at the same time gave signal to Croatia that country needs to change its orientation, not on Germany, but on Poland. German greed is alarmed. That for sure. At the same time, regime in Croatia publicly demonstrate loyalty to Germany. No though about Poland, not even in traces. Even opposition in Croatia pledge loyalty to Germany.
In any case, if Duda didn`t give up from Dalmatia as patch of Slavic land, strategically important for Intermarium, batter that Duda and Poland prepare itself for collision with Germany. Serious collision.
Things in a region already complicate. Its just the matter of time when would tectonic effects of collision came to Poland.
