My prognosis is a crisis of morale among the unpaid Russian troops
Your prognosis is right. Scavenging for food, no medicines or warm clothes, ancient equipment and being picked off like rats with their supply lines destroyed and no way to flee.
Russia is burning more than one million USD in LNG per day now because they can not sell it or store it.
Yes. Despite their constant lies about economic data, their economy is trashed for a long time in the future.
Even germany won't be able to return to a dependence on r*SSian gas when this is over; Nordstream 2 is history and r*SSia is tainted.
Like I said, it is something the members agreed on trying to reach, not a binding condition. Most countries do not spend 2% and
So why didn't they reach it? Poland and the UK do. So do the U.S. and Croatia.
Are you trying to say that germany can't afford it while Poland and others can?
Perhaps they were acting on r*SSia's instructions; they were certainly acting in r*SSia's interests as they have consistently done for a long time and are still doing now by buying their gas and paying for it in roubles.
And as you were told, germany is a drain on NATO; it contributes little, has an 'army' so useless that they have to practise with dummy wooden rifles yet expects to be defended by other members in a time of need.