PiS is an unfortunate government
Unfortunate is an understatement. So many years in power and they are unable to conduct the most important task they had to do: the final and full decommunisation of Polish courts. But how are they supposed to do that, when their own ranks are littered with post-communist apparatchiks? Down with them, they have to go.
Russia is going to be paying with the cheapest oil in modern history to rebuild Ukraine.
Free oil and natural gas will be flowing into Ukraine for decades. Russia will have to pay reparations for every single broken window pane in Ukraine, and Russian children will curse the old idiots who started this war for plunging their country into poverty for decades.
That's how I see it so far
Well, at the end of the day, how Russia was manipulated into invading Ukraine is irrelevant - what's important is the looming Russian defeat and the new world order that will emerge: the bipolar world (USA vs China), the partitions of Russia and the diminished role of Russian allies (Germany, France) in the EU. Who knows, maybe even the breakup of the EU, if their central institutions still usurp for themselves the control over areas outside European treaties.