Dismantling of UkraineIn any case, Russia has established an operational plan in 5 phases, with that the 4 phases certainly will be implemented. The 5th phase is still in the balance and Moscow will evaluate whether to go to the same or not. Now, not to mystify them, these phases are the following:
Phase I - Complete and unquestionable mastering of the entire Crimea with the help of Russophonic population. It was an operation that was pre-defined as one without the shedding of blood, with the referendum and the absorption of the Crimea in the full sense into the state and legal system of Russia. This is the phase near its completion and is carried out by Russia literally perfect.
Phase II - The elements of this phase are beginning to emerge. First, these were decisions of district assemblies of provinces Lugansk and Donetsk (together known as a region - Donbas), and which in turn took anti-Maidan standpoints. Second, the protests were of low intensity and very dosed. True, recently the Maidan government realized where this leads, and organized a counter-demonstration, which resulted in deadly consequences and woundings. In any case no matter how ugly it may sound, this is a water on Russia's mill. So far, Russia would not start anything until in peace was conducted a referendum in the Crimea, which is crucial because it will to the Russophonic people in Ukraine show, i.e. pave the way so that they also make such a thing. When the referendum is finalized and the Crimea incorporated into the state and legal composition of Russia, commences in the region of Donbas the identical operation as in the Crimea. By carrying out this operation, i.e. through its dynamic, commences the 3rd phase.
Phase III - With the dynamics of "Crimeaization" of the Donbas, the Russian army supported by the local population will commence the 3rd phase, which includes the Kharkiv, Zaporizhia, Odessa and quite certainly Dnepropetrovsk province. This phase is important because it represents the consolidation of pro-Russian areas. What was not expected in the first 2 phases, in this one is quite possible, almost expected, and it is strong opposition to this scenario of the Maidan government-aided with the logistics and advisory of Washington, including acts of war... Completing this phase, automatically encourages the key one and that is the 4th phase.
Phase IV - This phase implies a connection of all the areas that were merged in the first three phases, which implies unquestionable mastery with more Kherson and Mykolaiv provinces how the overall territory would be without a "Dubrovnik", and for this you will need as a "fake" Odessa of 3rd phase.
With these phases will be liberated approximately 50% of the population of Ukraine from the Maidan regime, and when we add it up here when its all together, and some minimum of 70% Russophonic speakers, then we can say that the "ethnic" issue has been resolved...
After this will emerge not small tremors within the remainders of Ukraine, if what is left of Ukraine can be called that way, so maybe, just maybe followed by the 5th phase.
Phase V is hypothetical and it will be Moscow that decides if it deems it necessary. Basically, what is expected to be in the 5th phase because of the advanced stagnation, loss of the most propulsive parts of the country, rampant poverty and the realization that they were played and betrayed, should happen a revolution against the Maidan government... It will be very heterogeneous, since some of the revolutionaries (Kiev, the East and the Central area, and to a certain part of the Western Ukraine) would want to go back to the old in terms of the period before the Maidan, a part (Lvov, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil, etc...) will want an unquestionable war with Russia... Emerge will a civil war, and Russia will support those to themselves loyal, and ultimately endeavor to create another border in Ukraine, which would run the north - south around the western borders of Zhytomyr and Vinnytsia provinces. Will the Khmelnytsky and Rivne provinces belong to the team from Kiev or Lvov, it will be a matter of dispute and maybe even an agreement...
Here, this is how will look finally dismantled Ukraine, thanks to Washington and it's insatiable goals focused on Russia...