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Poland`s aid to Ukraine if Russia invades - part 10



Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2191

Macron's statements about French nuclear umbrella for Europe are on a completely different level of nonsense.

He tried. He failed.

He made some guy who is younger than me his prime minister - to project "YOUTH".

He started to be "hard on migrants".

Now, when it's clear those things haven't worked, and Le Pen's little toy Bardella is wiping the floor with Macron - it is back to France's favorite national topic: "F*ck America for a Strong Europe!".

The elections to the European Parliament are on June 9th, after that you can expect for Macron to stfu again.

Every 20-30 years, France starts to make farting sounds about "strategic autonomy" and "masters of our destiny".

Novichok
30 Apr 2024  #2192

a ten year security package from the US. Can you believe this?

Give him credit for honesty. At least he didn't propose a "mutual defense treaty".

Bratwurst Boy
30 Apr 2024  #2193

Maybe he means it?

He has to win alot.....Europe saved by french nukes....and only Paris has the codes....what a unique situation for Macron and France!

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2194

Anyways, I hereby give up on predicting, evaluating or judging anything connected with this war. This is all messed up beyond any reasonable measure.

In the old days one could discuss international politics in terms of spheres of influence, balance of power, military might, economy, political systems etc. but none of these things seem even remotely as relevant today as it was in the past. The proper criteria are gone, the justifiable motives are gone, the viable causes, strategic aims, means of conducting - nothing is where it should be and chaos reigns supreme. Long time ago I read an academic paper about the rise of entropy in the universe but I never suspected that its conclusions will one day be applicable to world politics.

Maybe he means it? (...) Europe saved by french nukes...

See what I'm talking about? This is Monty-Python-level absurdity. Geez...

Bratwurst Boy
30 Apr 2024  #2195

Hmmm...chaos is a symptom for a time of change....before a new order takes hold....

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2196

a time of change....before a new order takes hold...

Damn it, BB. Stop freaking me out. :D

Anyways, like a good Catholic I'm switching to full papal view on this one: who am I to judge, NATO barking at Russia's door, I don't know who the aggressor is etc. etc.

I should have listened to the His Holiness Holy Father Pope Francis from the very beginning. I apologise and repent for ever calling him Comrade Bergoglio.

Bratwurst Boy
30 Apr 2024  #2197

Okayokay....;)

Novichok
30 Apr 2024  #2198

will one day be applicable to world politics.

Today, things are not black and white. The US used to support the Taliban, Then, we spent a lot of money to kill them.

Look at this forum...I wanted to create a guide to who hates whom but gave up for lack of consistency and clarity.

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2199

Today, things are not black and white.

And the Understatement of the Year award goes to... Novichok!

a guide to who hates whom

:D

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2200

the rise of entropy

I had a professor in college, who really liked me. His favorite thing to do, was reminding us students "how fragile the present liberal order is". At the time, it sounded to me like fantasy. The liberal order seemed as though it were wearing a three layered belt of armor, and stood upon an impossibly robust foundation.

When he said that countries like my own, or China, would seek to constantly undermine this order - I would laugh. It seemed to me a pretty childish/romantic interpretation of Russia and its capabilities.

Now, just 15 years later, I often wonder about how right this guy was. The edifice was grand, but the structural integrity was gone.

Of course, he would tell us it is fragile, because he wanted us to dedicate our life to preserving it. Little did he know he had a little Putinist sitting in his class, haha!

AntV
30 Apr 2024  #2201

The proper criteria are gone, the justifiable motives are gone, the viable causes, strategic aims, means of conducting - nothing is where it should be

I disagree. Motives and strategic aims are all there. I believe Putin's aim is completely strategic: he wants a ring of influence-a safety buffer-around Russia. His motivations are justifiable from his perspective: he doesn't want Russian territory to touch up against NATO. Makes complete strategic sense and is a sensible motive.

Bratwurst Boy
30 Apr 2024  #2202

Little did he know he had a little Putinist sitting in his class, haha!

I don't think you are a Putinist....you are a patriot!

"My country - good or bad!" You know how it goes....I believe many Germans in other countries were the same back then...

AntV
30 Apr 2024  #2203

@Bobko

A wise professor.

Not that it really takes much imagination to have realized that the pillars the liberal order is set upon were/are being eroded.

Novichok
30 Apr 2024  #2204

Makes complete strategic sense and is a sensible motive.

Your post confirms my opinion that it must be in the water. All Americans here show extraordinarily high IQ

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2205

Little did he know he had a little Putinist sitting in his class, haha!

:)

Yeah, you never know who you're dealing with, be it a university class or an internet board. The question is: will common sense and survival instinct prevail in the end or have we reached the point of depravity at which anything is possible. Jerzy Szczepkowski thinks we have...

3dom.pro/19856-katechizm-antykultury-jerzy-szczepkowski.html

... but I keep forgetting that as a Marxist you are not interested in theology. However, even one not interested in theology may well admit the possibility (even if ever so slight) of Satan acting in today's world (remember the picture you posted here, of Jesus and Satan arm wrestling? :)).

Anyways, you had a very good teacher but I doubt even he could have predicted the level of today's chaos.

Motives and strategic aims are all there.

Maybe on Russia's side (and partly America's), but what is Europe's strategy? What are our possible gains and motives? What are European/Polish realistic short and long term goals? If you know then, please, tell me because I am at a loss here. I am looking at it all from Polish/European perspective and I see chaos and bleak future :(

Novichok
30 Apr 2024  #2206

he could have predicted the level of today's chaos.

After every tornado comes that erie calm...then reconstruction.

The new is always better than what was destroyed. See Warsaw and Hiroshima in 1945 and 2024.

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2207

Not that it really takes much imagination to have realized that the pillars the liberal order is set upon were/are being eroded

Well, now I understand it.

Before I started college, America had brazenly invaded Iraq to pretty much global condemnation - and nothing happened to it. I think some smart guy called that America's "hyperpower moment". It was f*cking terrifying, because it really did seem like the end of history. America seemed unstoppable, and we were all living in its world.

Then the 2008 financial crisis happened, McCain picked Sarah Palin as his running mate, and Iraq and Afghanistan ended up being enormous black holes - and I relaxed a bit haha.

Maybe it's incorrect for me synonimize "the liberal order" and the recent history of the United States, but it's how I feel it.

as a Marxist you are not interested in theology

Oh I'm interested in theology, as you well know.

It's good that you have decided to apologize to His All-Holiness :)

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2208

After every tornado comes that erie calm...then reconstruction.

Unless we reached the tipping point so there won't be much eerie calm and the "reconstruction" might be a different thing than we suspect.

The new is always better than what was destroyed.

Hmm... I shall leave this statement for numerous historians on this board to comment on. ;)

It's good that you have decided to apologize to His All-Holiness :)

Well, one should be humble enough to acknowledge one's obvious past mistakes. :)

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2209

the "reconstruction" might be a different thing than we suspect.

Past reconstructions which were dynamic and exciting happened in the context of a rapidly growing world.

How will reconstruction look when the sides are spiraling towards demographic collapse?

Infrastructure investment cannot be a long term driver of economic success in the modern world.

We don't have a large generation of Baby Boomers to remake the world as their own, but rather 4 different mutts pulling the blanket each in their direction.

It may be a real possibility that things will just be sh*ttier and for quite a long time. Think more 14th century, than 19th ;)

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2210

Past reconstructions which were dynamic and exciting happened in the context of a rapidly growing world (...) How will reconstruction look when the sides are spiraling towards demographic collapse?

Exactly!

And this...

Think more 14th century, than 19th

... is what worries me because that's 14th century without cathedrals, scholastic philosophy and Christian universalism but with wokism, anticulture, moral vacuum, and nuclear weapons. Colour me pessimistic.

Ironside
30 Apr 2024  #2211

to believe in France firing a nuclear missile at Russia, in response to e.g. Russian attack on Poland

Impossible n'est pas français .

You mentioned Kosiniak-Kamysz talking sh*t

he talks like that all the time not only he is a bad politician but also has no balls as Uncle Ruckus of PF likes to say.

Why PSL is supporting Tusk after they killed CPK and other vital issues and are only surrendering to Brusless which is going to cost us a lot? I predict that those who support this government will have to ask Zelesky for Ukrainian passports/

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2212

I predict that those who support this government will have to ask Zelesky for Ukrainian passports

Ahahaha, this is a good one!

Agree completely that he is a sh*t politician. What he said about sending Ukrainian men back, though very popular in the moment, is a genie you cannot put back in the bottle.

This government has already shown its stupidity in its handling of the border embargo crisis. This may be even worse, but will take longer to become evident.

In Russian, we call this - «и нашим, и вашим, за стакан спляшем». Translation, "for a glass of vodka we will dance both for us and for you". Some other relevant aphorism, about sitting on two chairs...

The right will destroy the current coalition, in the next elections, and it's not like they are even proposing any interesting. Instead the coalition is self destructing through unforced errors. Ukraine is but a very small part of it.

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2213

Impossible n'est pas français

:)

Well, at least someone here is in a good mood today.

Why PSL is supporting Tusk

Beats me. You know I'm a PSL supporter but of its more conservative, commonsensical, peasant faction - think Marek Sawicki more than Kosiniak-Kamysz. For me personally, Tusk pushing for abortion would be enough to say "thank you, I'm out of this coalition".

AntV
30 Apr 2024  #2214

and partly America's), but what is Europe's strategy? What are our possible gains and motives? What are European/Polish realistic short and long term goals?

All very good questions. It leaves me scratching my head. I don't quite know what America or Europe is to gain from this or exactly what are goals are. There is no satisfactory answer. It could be as cynical as feeding the MICC and/or a desire to see Russia completely defeated and this is the chance. I have no idea.

One thing that does make sense to me is that we are a culture in decline. The decades of bemoaning and exaggerating all the "evils" of our past, the rejection of our Judeo-Christian foundation that has lead us toward the tyranny of relativism, the attacks on our traditions and institutions, etc. have resulted in mass confusion and poor leadership.

Maybe it's incorrect for me synonimize "the liberal order" and the recent history of the United States, but it's how I feel it.

There's something synonymous about the two, IMO, as well. We were able to take the great liberal thoughts of Western culture and bring them to fruition on a mass scale--as a result we became to keeper of the liberal order frame. Too bad we've spent that last 60-70 years pi$$ing on that flame.

All Americans here show extraordinarily high IQ

Maybe not all...but, in the case of yours truly, I humbly agree.

Ironside
30 Apr 2024  #2215

Makes complete strategic sense and is a sensible motive.

Duh? So what? What the USA are going to do about it? That is the question not an understanding of the Russian motive which is obvious and has been obvious since 20 years ago.

So far the USA has done F-all for Eastern European countries that entered NATO and seems that as soon as they have an opportunity to prove all anti-American prejudices they started to have second thoughts. I would say that is the worst time to do that.

---

What are European/Polish realistic short and long-term goals?

Are you asking what should be or what they are? If you ask about what they are that not much to say about this subject because the main problem of Poland is the fact we have sh'ty post-commie lite that is incompetent.

There are two fractions one lick boots of Berlin and the other of America and they both expect that the big boy will resolve all issues for them.

Berlin fraction is dumber one with your PSL in tow, But that is a pointless issue of dumb and dumber.

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2216

Are you asking what should be

It should be like Hungary's or Slovakia's.

Namely, "How is this good for Hungary?", or "How is this good for Slovakia?".

America has not nuked Hungary, and the EU has not kicked them out. They have a voice. They have a position. Even though they are smaller, poorer, and overall less consequential than Poland.

A refreshing bit of independent thought.

AntV
30 Apr 2024  #2217

So far the USA has done F-all for Eastern European countries that entered NATO

Nothing at all? I find that bs.

What the USA are going to do about it?

Seems like we're opening up our wallet and military depots to provide some assistance to Ukraine.

But, what exactly is your point?

GefreiterKania
30 Apr 2024  #2218

we are a culture in decline (...) bemoaning and exaggerating all the "evils" of our past, the rejection of our Judeo-Christian foundation that has lead us toward the tyranny of relativism

I can only agree. :(

we have sh'ty post-commie lite that is incompetent

Incompetent is putting it mildly, as for the "post-commie" bit, wouldn't you rather have Kwaśniewski, Miller and Oleksy (proper post-commies) in charge right now than this sad Tusk, Kosiniak-Kamysz, Hołownia cabaret?

fractions

Factions. Fraction is a f*cking ułamek. A c*nt of a language, I know.

Berlin fraction is dumber one with your PSL in tow

Weeeeelll... with Germany we absolutely must live in peace and understanding (you know the export/import numbers, right?) as our closest and strongest neighbour. With Brussels, America, Russia etc. - everything is negotiable. So don't denigrate pro-Berlin camp because I'm in it too - if only they were willing to drop some of the more nonsensical "green" policies.

The sad fact is, we are not entirely able to conduct independent foreign policies as we lack power to do that (brutal but true). Therefore, the idea - which both you and I support - of Poland finally becoming a nuclear power. Then our hand of cards would be more playable.

It should be like Hungary's or Slovakia's.

At the moment, yes... something along these lines. And then - Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok, and then Pax Sarmatica but this time with His Holiness the Pope on our side - put that in your pipe and smoke it, Crow. :D

Bobko
30 Apr 2024  #2219

@GefreiterKania

Come and be the Honorary Westerners in our little club, instead of being the Eastern ass clowns for Brussels and Washington.

Context can be key :)

Ironside
30 Apr 2024  #2220

to prove all anti-American prejudices wrong



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